Energy Orchestration

markets · portfolios · sites · fleets

Arbitrage rose from 25% to 76% of Texas battery revenue in a year. The optimizer, not the battery, now sets the return.

Share of ERCOT battery revenue from energy arbitrage versus ancillary services: about 15% arbitrage in 2023, 25% in June 2024 and 76% in June 2025. California batteries earned 91% from arbitrage in June 2025. ERCOT battery revenue per MW hit a record low in 2025 because of mild weather and saturated ancillary markets. ERCOT BATTERY REVENUE MIX (MODO ENERGY) 2023 15% June 2024 25% June 2025 76% Energy arbitrage (timing)Ancillary services 2023 is approximate (85% ancillary). CAISO batteries: 91% arbitrage, June 2025. Record lowERCOT battery revenue per MW in 2025:mild weather and saturated services
ERCOT arbitrage share
76%
CAISO
91%
A year earlier
25%
2025 revenue
Record low
Hub
Energy

Finding

Batteries now earn their money from software timing, not grid services

In Texas, batteries used to be paid mainly to stand by for grid services: about 85% of ERCOT battery revenue came from ancillary services in 2023. As battery capacity flooded those markets, prices collapsed, and by June 2025 energy arbitrage - charging cheap and discharging into price spikes - made up 76% of revenue (Modo Energy). California batteries were at 91%. ERCOT battery revenue per MW hit a record low in 2025.

That makes the optimizer, not the battery, the source of returns. The same Megapack earns very different money depending on how its software forecasts prices, bids, and holds charge for the few hours that set the year: in earlier years the top 30 days produced 44-68% of annual ERCOT battery revenue. ERCOT's real-time co-optimization, live since December 2025, raises the premium on fast, automated bidding.

The same logic now runs inside fleets and sites. A truck depot schedules charging against vehicle routes, tariffs and battery state; a data center shifts load and dispatches storage against grid signals; a factory times heavy loads around demand charges. Orchestration is the software layer that decides when every electrified asset draws, stores or gives back power.

Layers

Where orchestration runs

Energy orchestration layers
LayerWhat it decidesExamples
MarketBidding into energy, ancillary and capacity marketsTesla Autobidder, Fluence Mosaic, Wärtsilä GEMS, Gridmatic
PortfolioAggregating many sites into one dispatchable resourceVPP platforms: Tesla, Sunrun, Renew Home, Uplight, CPower
SiteBalancing solar, batteries, chargers and loads behind the meterMicrogrid controllers and EMS: Schneider, Siemens, Spirae
FleetCharging scheduled against routes, duty cycles and tariffsCharge management systems; OCPP; fleet telematics
DeviceInverters, chargers and batteries that follow setpointsIEEE 1547, IEEE 2030.5, OCPP

Sources

Sources and scope

Scope
Software that schedules generation, storage and load across markets, portfolios, sites and fleets
Sources
Modo Energy ERCOT and CAISO benchmarks (2025-2026); ESS News
Updated
October 2026