Finding
Ammonia and methanol do not need new end uses to absorb green hydrogen; they need only a cheaper electrolytic molecule than the gas and coal hydrogen they burn today
Haber-Bosch ammonia and methanol synthesis together take roughly half of global hydrogen demand. Nearly all of it comes from steam methane reforming or, in China, coal gasification, which emits close to twice the CO2 per ton of ammonia that gas reforming does. The synthesis loops stay the same; only the hydrogen supply and the air separation unit change.
The power bill decides the economics. One ton of ammonia needs about 0.18 t of hydrogen, which at 50-55 kWh/kg means roughly 9-10 MWh of electricity before synthesis and air separation. That is why the flagship plants sit on cheap, captive wind and solar: Envision's off-grid Chifeng plant in Inner Mongolia, opened in July 2025 with a first phase of about 320,000 t/yr of ammonia, and NEOM Green Hydrogen Company in Saudi Arabia (ACWA Power, Air Products, NEOM), built around 2.2 GW of thyssenkrupp nucera electrolyzers for about 1.2 Mt/yr of ammonia, with output expected from 2026-27.
China leads in projects reaching operation, including Goldwind's green methanol plant in Hinggan League, Inner Mongolia, aimed at ship fuel for Maersk. Europe's first commercial e-methanol plant, European Energy's Kassø site in Denmark, started in 2025, while Ørsted canceled its larger FlagshipONE project in 2024. In the US, hydrogen hubs such as Gulf Coast HyVelocity target ammonia, but most US ammonia additions are gas-based with carbon capture. Shipping demand depends on the IMO net-zero framework, whose adoption vote was postponed in October 2025.
Process chain
From electrons to molecules
| Step | Equipment | Role | What changes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Electrolysis | Alkaline, PEM or solid-oxide electrolyzers | Splits water into hydrogen and oxygen | Replaces the reformer or coal gasifier |
| Air separation | Cryogenic or membrane ASU | Supplies nitrogen for ammonia | Reformers got nitrogen from air in the secondary reformer; electrolytic plants need an ASU |
| Ammonia synthesis | Haber-Bosch loop (Topsoe, KBR, thyssenkrupp Uhde, Casale) | N2 + 3H2 to NH3 at 150-300 bar | Must ramp with variable power, or be buffered by hydrogen storage |
| Methanol synthesis | Copper-zinc catalyst reactors with CO2 feed | CO2 + 3H2 to CH3OH + H2O | Needs captured CO2 from biogenic, industrial or air sources |
| End use | Fertilizer plants, ship engines, crackers, fuel cells | Fertilizer, plastics, shipping fuel, hydrogen carrier | Same molecule, lower carbon intensity |
Demand
Where green ammonia and methanol sell first
| Segment | Drivers | Constraints |
|---|---|---|
| Fertilizer (ammonia) | EU CBAM covers fertilizer; food-company scope 3 targets | Green premium over gray ammonia; retrofit of existing loops |
| Shipping fuel (methanol, ammonia) | Maersk and COSCO methanol fleets; EU FuelEU Maritime | IMO framework delayed; ammonia engine and toxicity safety |
| E-fuels and chemicals (methanol) | Methanol-to-olefins, e-SAF pathways | Cost and availability of non-fossil CO2 |
| Hydrogen carrier (ammonia) | Japan and Korea co-firing in power plants | Cracking back to hydrogen loses energy |
Sources
Sources and scope
- Scope
- Green Hydrogen for Ammonia and Methanol
- Sources
- IEA Global Hydrogen Review; Envision, NEOM Green Hydrogen Company, Goldwind, European Energy announcements (2024-26); IMO
- Updated
- October 2026